New models developed by researchers infer that the number of deaths caused by the coronavirus could be considerably higher than it was thought in the past. A team of American researchers has collected data related to what appeared to be an excessive number of deaths, which took place in Italy in an attempt to anticipate the death toll that will take place in New York.
The researchers claim that the current 0.5% rate is a best-case scenario for New York, while up to rate will reach up to 0.85% in Italy in the following weeks. The results are daunting, especially for those who advocate for lax social isolation measures.
A quick overview of official statists will reveal the fact that the rate of deaths caused by influenza gravitates around 0.1%, which means that the coronavirus can be up to eight and a half times more deadly.
Coronavirus could be deadlier than thought, new research estimates
However, it is essential to take into account the fact that these numbers are reached by including the number of excessive deaths as being caused by COVID-19. According to one of the researchers who contributed to the study, the chance to die this year is doubled, regardless of the state of your health or age. Current data suggests that the coronavirus has infected approximately one-quarter of the population of New York.
On the light side, it was also mentioned that up to 21% of the population has natural antibodies that can combat the virus, which is great in the long run as it can reduce transmission, primarily if the more resistant persons also handle outdoor activities like shopping.
The US has the highest number of confirmed coronavirus cases in the world, as one million cases have been confirmed recently. In contrast, new coronavirus cases continue to be found every day. More data can be found in the study published by UC Berkeley.