Although for the last days, the number of COVID cases decreased for some areas of the globe, we should not open the champagne just yet. CNN debates this problem and invokes new research from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation of the University of Washington’s.
The researchers expect that about 130,000 Americans will die of COVID during the next three and a half months, meaning that the situation regarding the most affected country by the ongoing pandemic won’t get better soon. The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation claims that four key factors will determine how the next several months of the COVID pandemic will be.
The vaccination rollout must be increased
Increasing the number of vaccinations is one of the key factors, and along with declining seasonality (the pattern of lower transmission from the US during the spring and summer), will likely play a major role in making the COVID cases keep declining.
The research team offered an explanation for the decrease of the COVID numbers:
Transmission has been contained over the winter through mask wearing, decreased mobility, and avoidance of high-risk settings such as indoor dining,
Two factors for slowing or even reversing the COVID cases decline
One of these latter factors is linked to the spread of the UK strain of COVID that makes the disease spread significantly faster. The fourth factor is represented by increased behaviors that favor the spread of COVID-19. The research team also released the following statement:
As daily case counts decline and vaccination increases, behaviors are likely to change towards increased risk of transmission.
In other words, Americans shouldn’t neglect anti-COVID guidances such as wearing facemasks, avoiding crowds, and washing hands frequently.
COVID-19 infections surpassed a total of 109 million cases and 2.4 million deaths, according to worldometers.info.