If large-scale shutdown policies such as stay home orders and closing schools were not implemented following the coronavirus pandemic got into the US, there would be roughly 60 million more coronavirus infections across the nation – this is what a new modeling study suggests.
The study has been published on Monday in the scientific journal Nature and this involved a modeling technique typically used for estimating economic growth to measure the effect of the shutdown policies across six countries: China, South Korea, Italy, Iran, France and the United States.
Severe policies turned out helpful
The estimates are suggesting that without certain policies in place from the beginning of the pandemic in January through early April, there would be roughly:
285 million more total infections in China
38 million more total infections in South Korea
49 million more total infections in Italy
54 million more total infections in Iran
45 million more total infections in France
60 million more total infections in the United States
The study is suggesting that emergency Covid-19 policies prevented more than 500 million total coronavirus infections across the countries that we just mentioned above.
CNN also noted that the study period ended on April 6 but keeping shutdown orders in place after that time led to more coronavirus infections that were avoided – even if such measures have been some pretty difficult ones, the study’s lead author Solomon Hsiang, a professor and director of the Global Policy Laboratory at the University of California, Berkeley, stated the other day.
“The last several months have been extraordinarily difficult, but through our individual sacrifices, people everywhere have each contributed to one of humanity’s greatest collective achievements,” Hsiang said.
Hsiang continued and explained, “I don’t think any human endeavor has ever saved so many lives in such a short period of time. There have been huge personal costs to staying home and canceling events, but the data show that each day made a profound difference.”